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2022 Industrial Robot Market Prospect Forecast

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At present, the demand for intelligent transformation and upgrading of China’s production and manufacturing is becoming increasingly prominent, and the demand for industrial robots is strong. China’s industrial robot market maintains a good development, accounting for about one third of the global market share, and is the world’s largest industrial robot application market.

Industrial robot has served the automotive industry earlier. It is the field with the widest application range, the highest application standard and the best application maturity. With the development of information technology and artificial intelligence technology, industrial robots have gradually expanded to the general industrial field, among which the application of 3C electronic automation is more mature. In the fields of metal processing, chemical industry and food manufacturing, the use density of industrial robots has gradually increased.

The growth trend of industrial robot market slowed down in the second half of the year

In the first half of this year, the data of domestic industrial robot industry was very bright. According to the data of the Bureau of statistics, the output of domestic industrial robots from January to July was 205094 sets, a year-on-year increase of 64.6%; In terms of market scale, the overall market scale of automation in China in the first half of 2021 was 152.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.9%.

The main reasons are as follows: first, in the first half of 2020, industrial robots were seriously affected by the epidemic, the demand was compressed, and the base was relatively small, making the growth rate higher than before; 2、 In the first half of this year, the domestic epidemic was controlled, resulting in the return of overseas orders. At the same time, the demand in the second half of 2020 was also released, providing a driving force for the growth of industrial robots; 3、 Strong demand in downstream industries, the explosion of new energy vehicles and 3C electronics, as well as warehousing and logistics, photovoltaic, lithium battery, metal processing and other industries, have driven the rapid growth of industrial robot shipments.

In the second half of this year, the growth trend of industrial robots will slow down, but the overall growth will continue. In June, the output of industrial robots in China was about 36383, with a year-on-year increase of 60.7%, while in July, the output was only 31342 sets, with a year-on-year increase of 42.3%. In October, the output of industrial robots was 28500 sets, a new low in the year, with a year-on-year increase of only 10.60%, and has decreased month on month for two consecutive months. In April, the smallest increase in a single month in the first half of the year, the output of industrial robots also achieved a year-on-year increase of 43%.

First, the price of raw materials rose. According to the data of the National Bureau of statistics, the purchasing manager index of the manufacturing industry in October was 49.2%, lower than the cut-off point, 0.4 percentage points lower than that in September, and was in the contraction range for two consecutive months, which is consistent with the change of the output of industrial robots; The purchase price index of raw materials and the ex factory price index are 72.1% and 61.1% respectively, of which the ex factory price index is the highest in recent years, which not only indicates that the purchase price of raw materials and the sales price of products have accelerated, and the purchase price index of raw materials is significantly higher than the sales price of products, but also means that the price of raw materials has affected the profit space of middle and downstream enterprises.

The rise of raw material prices has had a certain impact on the production of industrial robot enterprises. Increasing income without increasing profits has become the state of many industrial robot enterprises in the third quarter, and international giants are also troubled by the rise of raw materials. The shortage of chips has also spread to the field of industrial robots. Industrial robots are a big demand for chips. The chip supply can not meet the needs of current capacity improvement, and the output can not be effectively increased.

In addition to the adverse effects caused by the rising price of raw materials and the shortage of chips, with the continuous vaccination of foreign vaccines, the economic situation has improved, the return of orders has slowed down, and the production capacity of domestic savings has been released almost, which will maintain normal growth in the future

Industrial robot industry trend forecast

1. Industrial robot market forecast

It is expected that the impact of the epidemic will gradually subside in 2022, and the market demand will show more structural differentiation. It is still determined that there is no possibility of “outbreak” as a whole. It is expected that the annual sales growth rate of China’s industrial robot market will be about 15% – 20%, the localization rate will increase steadily, and it is expected to exceed 41% in 2022.

2. National policies support the development of robot industry

On December 28, the Ministry of industry and information technology, the national development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of science and technology and other 15 departments officially issued the “14th five year plan” for the development of robot industry. It is proposed that during the “14th five year plan” period, a number of robot core technologies and high-end products will be promoted to make breakthroughs, and the comprehensive indicators of the whole machine will reach the international advanced level, The performance and reliability of key parts and components reach the international level of similar products; The average annual growth rate of operating revenue of robot industry exceeds 20%; Form a number of leading enterprises with international competitiveness and a large number of specialized and new “little giant” enterprises with strong innovation ability and good growth, and build three to five industrial clusters with international influence; The density of robots in manufacturing has doubled.

3. Integration of industrial robots as the key point of future technological breakthrough

At present, China’s industrial robots mainly perform deterministic tasks in structured environment, and the operation in complex dynamic environment is not flexible enough, mainly because the perception ability of industrial robots in integration with the environment and cooperation with other robots is weak. With the development of traditional industrial robots in machine vision, intelligent sensing and cloud technology, industrial robots will be more intelligent and flexible in the future, that is, from traditional robots to integrated robots.

4. Industrial robot products have been greatly improved

1. Multi joint robot: medium and large load (≥ 20kg) products begin to be used in large quantities, and the demand for handling and destacking applications will continue to grow, especially the proportion of 3D vision will increase significantly.

2. Cooperative robot: the domestic market position will be further consolidated. At the same time, the product forms of cooperative robot will continue to be enriched, and the innovation covering multiple dimensions such as load, arm spread, shaft number, force control and sensor will continue to occur. It is inevitable that the competition among domestic manufacturers will also enter a white hot stage. In addition, More and more domestic manufacturers will make qualitative breakthroughs in overseas markets.

3. SCARA robot: SCARA’s main track began to change from the original 3C industry to 3C industry and new energy industry. Moreover, GGII believes that greater variables in the market pattern will come from the new energy industry. The existing advantages of 3C industry may be difficult to be directly copied to the new energy industry, which has high load capacity Players with high cost performance and customized development ability will form a positive.

4. Parallel robots: in 2022, the sales volume in the Chinese market is expected to exceed 10000, of which domestic robots account for more than 75%.

5. Machine vision (mainly refers to 3D vision): the number of entrants continues to increase and the popularity of the field continues. Most manufacturers are still in the investment period. Individual manufacturers begin to form advantages and labels in subdivided fields, such as destacking, logistics picking, automobile inspection, etc., and the quasi head effect appears. At the same time, machine vision has really entered the algorithm era, and the ability (or universality) of software algorithm may be one of the plates that manufacturers strive to improve and supplement.

5. The application potential of industrial robots in the medical field needs to be tapped

At present, industrial robots are mainly used in the automotive industry. With the saturation of industrial robot application in the automotive industry, the application of industrial robots is gradually expanding to other fields. Driven by the epidemic, some industrial robot manufacturers immediately layout industrial robots in the medical field, such as assembling medical syringes or filling and closing vials with industrial robots.

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